Today, in plain EnglishToday
A two-minute summary. Dotted words are explained if you tap them. New here? Start with Learn the basics.
The big pictureRegime
Seven things that move the whole stock market, and whether each one is helping or hurting right now. They're in order: each one tends to cause the next. Tap a card to learn what it is and why it matters to you.
Seven reads, in the order causation runs. Click any tile.
What could happen next
Nobody knows the future, so instead of one prediction here are the four ways the economy can go, the chain of cause and effect behind each, and the measurable signs that tell you which one is arriving. Which way today's data leans is computed, not guessed. Tap a scenario to see its reasoning.
Knock-on effects switched on today
When something big changes, the first effect is obvious; the money is usually in the second and third. Each chain below was switched on by today's data or news, says which industries it reaches and how, and what would break it.
More chains to learn
Prediction track record
Reasoning is only worth something if it's checked. Each chain above leaves a prediction tied to a number this page tracks; when its date comes, it's scored against what actually happened.
Stocks people are watching
Three lists, rebuilt every day from what investors and engineers are talking about and what prices did. They show where attention is — they are not recommendations. Every stock is on a list for a reason, and the reason is shown.
Coming upScheduled next
Scheduled events that often move the market. More stars means a bigger usual effect. A ~ means the date is our best estimate, not an official one.
~ means the date is inferred from the publication rule, not confirmed.
How different parts of the market didCross-asset
Each row is a fund that tracks one slice of the market, so you can see what's going up and what's going down. Green is up, red is down.
What is leading, and what that combination usually means.
News
Ranked by how useful each story is for you. Big means it moves markets generally; For you means it's especially relevant to what you're trying to learn. Stories are grouped by how long they'll matter.
Relevance to you, and market impact, scored separately.
Metrics
Click a row for why it matters and what a move means.
Learn the basics
Ten short lessons, in order. Each takes a few minutes, and together they explain everything on this page. Then a glossary of every term used here.